Minority Report

Chehalis, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lewis County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 48°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 58 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°58%
US model (GFS)60°50°4%
German model (ICON)59°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°49°0%
The average59°48°16%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 47°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 86%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°46°100%
US model (GFS)53°46°72%
German model (ICON)55°47°95%
Canadian model (GEM)54°48°76%
The average55°47°86%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 48°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°48°99%
US model (GFS)54°46°99%
German model (ICON)55°48°98%
Canadian model (GEM)56°48°100%
The average55°48°99%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°42°94%
US model (GFS)53°43°99%
German model (ICON)53°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°45°100%
The average54°43°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.