Minority Report

Chester, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Randolph County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)56°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°4%
Canadian model (GEM)56°35°10%
The average55°36°4%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°1%
US model (GFS)44°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°29°0%
The average44°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°22°0%
The average48°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°1%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°19°0%
The average52°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.