Minority Report

Chester, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chester County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)71°48°18%
European model (ECMWF)71°52°53%
German model (ICON)70°47°15%
Canadian model (GEM)71°51°10%
The average71°47°19%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°2%
US model (GFS)56°39°2%
European model (ECMWF)56°43°0%
German model (ICON)57°37°3%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°0%
The average57°39°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average53°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)55°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°32°0%
German model (ICON)57°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average55°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.