Chesterfield, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chesterfield County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 72° Low 48° Rain 18%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 74° | 49° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 54° | 59% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 47° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 49° | 5% |
| The average | 72° | 48° | 18% |
High 59° Low 41° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 60° | 36° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 41° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 45° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 41° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 44° | 0% |
| The average | 59° | 41° | 4% |
High 54° Low 36° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 31° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 34° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 36° | 1% |
High 56° Low 33° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.