Chesterfield, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chesterfield County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 70° Low 46° Rain 19%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 43° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 70° | 47° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 68° | 47° | 27% |
| German model (ICON) | 70° | 46° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 70° | 47° | 5% |
| The average | 70° | 46° | 19% |
High 54° Low 38° Rain 5%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 32° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 37° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 43° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 37° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 41° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 38° | 5% |
High 52° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 37° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 33° | 0% |
High 55° Low 35° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 35° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.