Minority Report

Cheyenne, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Roger Mills County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)77°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°50°0%
German model (ICON)75°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°44°0%
The average76°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°37°0%
US model (GFS)60°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°42°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°38°0%
The average59°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 39°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°39°99%
US model (GFS)53°34°88%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°100%
German model (ICON)55°41°95%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°96%
The average54°39°96%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 91%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°36°71%
US model (GFS)47°41°94%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°100%
German model (ICON)44°41°95%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°95%
The average45°39°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.