Minority Report

Childress, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Childress County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)76°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°46°0%
German model (ICON)76°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°44°0%
The average76°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°43°1%
US model (GFS)61°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°45°0%
German model (ICON)60°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°0%
The average61°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 94%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°44°84%
US model (GFS)63°41°90%
European model (ECMWF)49°45°100%
German model (ICON)51°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)49°41°100%
The average54°43°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 83%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°39°34%
US model (GFS)57°44°90%
European model (ECMWF)47°44°92%
German model (ICON)47°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°100%
The average51°42°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.