Minority Report

Chillicothe, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ross County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 42°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 90%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°78%
US model (GFS)51°43°79%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°100%
German model (ICON)53°44°95%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°100%
The average52°42°90%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 67%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°25%
US model (GFS)45°36°60%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°100%
German model (ICON)45°36°70%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°79%
The average45°34°67%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°1%
US model (GFS)45°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°2%
German model (ICON)45°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°26%
The average45°32°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°2%
German model (ICON)48°36°1%
Canadian model (GEM)45°30°0%
The average47°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.