Minority Report

Chilton, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Calumet County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 6%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°4%
US model (GFS)40°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)39°33°0%
German model (ICON)41°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°19%
The average40°32°6%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°5%
US model (GFS)39°31°6%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°0%
German model (ICON)40°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°31°0%
The average40°30°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°0%
US model (GFS)42°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°0%
German model (ICON)44°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°25°0%
The average42°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)44°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°0%
German model (ICON)44°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°20°0%
The average43°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.