Minority Report

Chinook, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Blaine County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)58°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average56°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)58°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average55°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)61°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°0%
The average55°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)59°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°0%
German model (ICON)59°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°27°0%
The average58°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.