Minority Report

Choteau, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Teton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)63°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°43°0%
German model (ICON)63°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°41°0%
The average65°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°36°0%
US model (GFS)60°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°39°0%
German model (ICON)61°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°37°0%
The average62°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°33°0%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°38°0%
German model (ICON)59°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°32°0%
The average60°36°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°39°0%
German model (ICON)57°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°29°0%
The average56°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.