Minority Report

Christiansburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montgomery County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 39°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 36%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°4%
US model (GFS)53°39°28%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°72%
German model (ICON)54°42°38%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°38%
The average54°39°36%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°4%
US model (GFS)43°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°4%
German model (ICON)44°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°5%
The average44°34°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°3%
US model (GFS)40°27°3%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°2%
German model (ICON)40°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°30°5%
The average41°30°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°0%
German model (ICON)46°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°0%
The average45°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.