Chugach Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chugach Census Area.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 40° Low 34° Rain 91%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 32° | 63% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 38° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 31° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 35° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 35° | 100% |
| The average | 40° | 34° | 91% |
High 37° Low 33° Rain 15%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 36° | 30° | 48% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 30° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 36° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 34° | 2% |
| The average | 37° | 33° | 15% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 87%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 35° | 73% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 34° | 84% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 34° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 37° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 35° | 87% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 87% |
High 43° Low 39° Rain 93%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 36° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 40° | 94% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 38° | 94% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 42° | 91% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 42° | 92% |
| The average | 43° | 39° | 93% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.