Ciales Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ciales Municipio.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 87° Low 72° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 99 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 75° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 89° | 71° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 86° | 72° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 86° | 73° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 87° | 69° | 11% |
| The average | 87° | 72° | 28% |
High 86° Low 74° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 86° | 74° | 20% |
| US model (GFS) | 86° | 72° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 85° | 75° | 54% |
| German model (ICON) | 86° | 77° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 86° | 73° | 5% |
| The average | 86° | 74° | 22% |
High 86° Low 74° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 83 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 87° | 74° | 30% |
| US model (GFS) | 87° | 72° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 83° | 75° | 83% |
| German model (ICON) | 85° | 78° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 86° | 72° | 14% |
| The average | 86° | 74° | 31% |
High 88° Low 72° Rain 9%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 86° | 73° | 24% |
| US model (GFS) | 91° | 70° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 87° | 73° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 86° | 73° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 88° | 69° | 0% |
| The average | 88° | 72° | 9% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.