Minority Report

Cidra Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cidra Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 85°   Low 71°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—71°10%
US model (GFS)86°70°19%
European model (ECMWF)85°71°82%
German model (ICON)83°71°13%
Canadian model (GEM)86°71°33%
The average85°71°31%

Friday, November 13

High 83°   Low 73°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 95 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service82°73°30%
US model (GFS)85°72°23%
European model (ECMWF)84°74°24%
German model (ICON)83°75°0%
Canadian model (GEM)84°73°95%
The average83°73°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 84°   Low 73°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 88 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service84°71°40%
US model (GFS)85°71°21%
European model (ECMWF)82°73°82%
German model (ICON)84°76°5%
Canadian model (GEM)84°73°93%
The average84°73°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 85°   Low 70°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service83°69°2%
US model (GFS)86°69°3%
European model (ECMWF)85°71°8%
German model (ICON)84°73°3%
Canadian model (GEM)85°69°14%
The average85°70°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.