Minority Report

Cincinnati, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hamilton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°57%
US model (GFS)51°38°20%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°60%
German model (ICON)53°41°50%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°86%
The average52°40°55%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°43%
US model (GFS)43°32°25%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°84%
German model (ICON)44°35°50%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°71%
The average44°35°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°0%
US model (GFS)46°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°5%
The average45°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°0%
US model (GFS)48°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°0%
The average48°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.