Minority Report

Claiborne County, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Claiborne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 81 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°19%
US model (GFS)52°40°60%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°100%
German model (ICON)53°43°88%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°100%
The average53°39°73%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 56%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°53%
US model (GFS)40°33°50%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°92%
German model (ICON)43°37°25%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°62%
The average42°34°56%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 28°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°30°4%
European model (ECMWF)42°31°21%
German model (ICON)42°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)40°24°19%
The average42°28°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°25°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°28°0%
German model (ICON)49°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°18°0%
The average48°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.