Minority Report

Claremore, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rogers County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°1%
US model (GFS)65°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°44°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°45°0%
The average64°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°0%
US model (GFS)52°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average52°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°36°15%
US model (GFS)57°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)55°35°3%
German model (ICON)58°32°2%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°5%
The average56°33°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 45%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°43%
US model (GFS)48°41°37%
European model (ECMWF)49°43°48%
German model (ICON)46°42°31%
Canadian model (GEM)46°40°68%
The average48°40°45%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.