Minority Report

Clarendon, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)69°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°45°0%
German model (ICON)67°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°48°0%
The average68°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)53°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)53°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average54°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°0%
The average53°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°39°15%
US model (GFS)59°40°12%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°20%
German model (ICON)59°36°28%
Canadian model (GEM)57°31°16%
The average57°37°18%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.