Minority Report

Clarendon, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Donley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)74°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°44°0%
German model (ICON)75°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°44°0%
The average74°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 41°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°3%
US model (GFS)60°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°0%
German model (ICON)55°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average58°41°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°40°91%
US model (GFS)54°39°91%
European model (ECMWF)45°43°100%
German model (ICON)45°42°88%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°96%
The average48°40°93%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 40°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 75%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°25%
US model (GFS)52°43°91%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°94%
German model (ICON)43°41°78%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°86%
The average47°40°75%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.