Minority Report

Clarion, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clarion County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 73 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°27%
US model (GFS)46°36°88%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°100%
German model (ICON)46°37°98%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°100%
The average46°36°83%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°19%
US model (GFS)37°31°8%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°12%
German model (ICON)39°32°40%
Canadian model (GEM)38°33°20%
The average39°31°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 31°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°52%
US model (GFS)40°32°33%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°59%
German model (ICON)40°32°45%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°76%
The average41°31°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 34%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°20%
US model (GFS)41°36°33%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°32%
German model (ICON)42°37°23%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°61%
The average43°35°34%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.