Minority Report

Clarksville, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Johnson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)67°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°44°0%
German model (ICON)66°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°0%
The average67°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)57°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°0%
The average56°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°4%
US model (GFS)55°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°33°0%
The average53°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 32%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°21%
US model (GFS)58°38°25%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°35%
German model (ICON)55°40°29%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°48%
The average53°39°32%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.