Minority Report

Clarksville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Red River County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°1%
US model (GFS)74°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°51°0%
German model (ICON)73°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°49°0%
The average74°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°40°1%
US model (GFS)63°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°0%
German model (ICON)61°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°41°0%
The average62°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°42°31%
US model (GFS)60°40°6%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°18%
German model (ICON)57°36°18%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average58°40°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 42°   Rain 87%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 87%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°84%
US model (GFS)49°42°77%
European model (ECMWF)49°43°95%
German model (ICON)48°42°89%
Canadian model (GEM)49°42°90%
The average50°42°87%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.