Minority Report

Claude, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Armstrong County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)72°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°46°0%
German model (ICON)72°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°42°0%
The average72°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°38°5%
US model (GFS)61°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°0%
German model (ICON)54°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°0%
The average57°39°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 90%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°40°89%
US model (GFS)52°38°88%
European model (ECMWF)43°40°100%
German model (ICON)43°39°83%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°90%
The average46°39°90%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°35°19%
US model (GFS)50°42°88%
European model (ECMWF)44°39°94%
German model (ICON)42°41°68%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°76%
The average46°39°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.