Minority Report

Clay Center, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°0%
The average51°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)44°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)47°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°20°0%
The average46°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°35°6%
US model (GFS)49°22°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°5%
The average49°27°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°11%
US model (GFS)51°41°8%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)50°27°20%
The average51°33°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.