Minority Report

Clay Center, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°0%
The average46°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)40°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°26°0%
German model (ICON)45°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°23°0%
The average44°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°7%
US model (GFS)48°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°13%
The average46°29°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°7%
US model (GFS)50°40°6%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°2%
German model (ICON)52°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°24%
The average49°33°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.