Minority Report

Clayton, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rabun County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 98 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 53%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°2%
US model (GFS)58°43°54%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°100%
German model (ICON)58°45°10%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°100%
The average58°42°53%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°3%
US model (GFS)46°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°4%
German model (ICON)48°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°0%
The average47°36°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)49°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°32°0%
The average48°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°1%
US model (GFS)54°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°28°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°27°0%
The average54°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.