Minority Report

Clayton, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Louis County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)50°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°20%
German model (ICON)51°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°35°24%
The average50°36°9%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°0%
US model (GFS)44°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average44°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°0%
US model (GFS)49°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°0%
The average48°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°0%
US model (GFS)53°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°20°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.