Minority Report

Clear Lake, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Deuel County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 36°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—21°0%
US model (GFS)34°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)36°27°0%
German model (ICON)36°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)36°23°0%
The average36°25°0%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°21°0%
US model (GFS)34°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°25°0%
German model (ICON)35°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°19°0%
The average37°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°26°0%
US model (GFS)43°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°26°0%
German model (ICON)40°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°22°0%
The average40°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°0%
The average47°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.