Minority Report

Clearfield, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clearfield County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°39%
US model (GFS)47°37°93%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°100%
German model (ICON)49°39°98%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°100%
The average48°37°86%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 34°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 48%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°30°30%
US model (GFS)38°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)40°35°59%
German model (ICON)39°34°80%
Canadian model (GEM)40°36°57%
The average40°34°48%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°23%
US model (GFS)42°32°9%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°28%
German model (ICON)41°33°40%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°33%
The average42°33°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 19%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°13%
US model (GFS)41°32°9%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°24%
German model (ICON)42°37°22%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°28%
The average43°34°19%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.