Minority Report

Clearwater, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pinellas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 66°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—64°22%
US model (GFS)78°64°4%
European model (ECMWF)80°64°25%
German model (ICON)77°69°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°66°19%
The average78°66°14%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 60°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 12%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°54°0%
US model (GFS)72°59°19%
European model (ECMWF)74°63°11%
German model (ICON)72°63°3%
Canadian model (GEM)72°61°29%
The average72°60°12%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°52°0%
US model (GFS)64°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°47°0%
The average64°49°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 71°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°59°1%
US model (GFS)71°58°1%
European model (ECMWF)73°48°0%
German model (ICON)71°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°47°0%
The average71°52°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.