Minority Report

Cleburne, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Johnson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°51°0%
German model (ICON)76°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°49°0%
The average77°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°46°0%
US model (GFS)69°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°52°0%
German model (ICON)66°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°47°0%
The average68°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 47°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 60%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°62%
US model (GFS)64°47°35%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°89%
German model (ICON)58°47°91%
Canadian model (GEM)66°46°24%
The average63°47°60%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 46°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 93%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°44°92%
US model (GFS)56°47°81%
European model (ECMWF)54°47°97%
German model (ICON)48°45°96%
Canadian model (GEM)57°46°100%
The average54°46°93%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.