Minority Report

Cleveland, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cuyahoga County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 42°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°47%
US model (GFS)50°42°80%
European model (ECMWF)50°43°100%
German model (ICON)50°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°45°100%
The average50°42°85%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 39°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 70%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°38°77%
US model (GFS)42°39°52%
European model (ECMWF)43°38°100%
German model (ICON)44°40°78%
Canadian model (GEM)45°42°44%
The average43°39°70%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°37°67%
US model (GFS)46°40°78%
European model (ECMWF)43°38°100%
German model (ICON)46°40°58%
Canadian model (GEM)44°39°86%
The average45°39°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 42°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 54%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°57%
US model (GFS)47°45°31%
European model (ECMWF)43°42°80%
German model (ICON)46°43°35%
Canadian model (GEM)45°41°67%
The average45°42°54%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.