Minority Report

Clifton, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greenlee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°1%
US model (GFS)72°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°45°0%
German model (ICON)73°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°43°0%
The average72°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 48%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°48°27%
US model (GFS)72°50°19%
European model (ECMWF)70°49°57%
German model (ICON)69°53°58%
Canadian model (GEM)69°46°81%
The average70°49°48%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 45°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°42°8%
US model (GFS)60°47°7%
European model (ECMWF)61°49°52%
German model (ICON)59°50°30%
Canadian model (GEM)60°39°46%
The average61°45°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°43°0%
US model (GFS)63°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°42°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°33°0%
The average64°41°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.