Minority Report

Clinton, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Van Buren County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)64°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°41°0%
German model (ICON)63°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°46°0%
The average64°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°36°0%
The average52°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°1%
US model (GFS)53°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°0%
The average52°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°15%
US model (GFS)56°37°17%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°17%
German model (ICON)56°34°23%
Canadian model (GEM)52°36°29%
The average54°35°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.