Minority Report

Clinton, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sampson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 49°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 21%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)73°52°40%
European model (ECMWF)72°52°43%
German model (ICON)72°49°10%
Canadian model (GEM)72°50°10%
The average72°49°21%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 42°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°36°12%
US model (GFS)58°44°4%
European model (ECMWF)58°44°12%
German model (ICON)60°40°8%
Canadian model (GEM)59°43°5%
The average59°42°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°18%
German model (ICON)54°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°36°2%
The average54°36°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)57°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°28°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.