Minority Report

Clintwood, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dickenson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 84%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°54%
US model (GFS)53°41°73%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°100%
German model (ICON)54°42°93%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°100%
The average53°39°84%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 85%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°26°82%
US model (GFS)42°33°67%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°100%
German model (ICON)42°36°83%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°95%
The average42°33°85%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 29°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°25°15%
US model (GFS)40°28°9%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°72%
German model (ICON)39°33°55%
Canadian model (GEM)37°29°75%
The average40°29°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°0%
US model (GFS)42°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°4%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average45°29°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.