Minority Report

Clovis, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Curry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)69°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°42°0%
German model (ICON)68°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°38°0%
The average68°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 41°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 23%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°46°60%
US model (GFS)66°43°10%
European model (ECMWF)66°43°10%
German model (ICON)64°40°13%
Canadian model (GEM)67°36°24%
The average66°41°23%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 45°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 82%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°43°71%
US model (GFS)60°45°65%
European model (ECMWF)56°46°100%
German model (ICON)59°46°88%
Canadian model (GEM)59°47°86%
The average58°45°82%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°38°0%
US model (GFS)57°41°5%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°14%
German model (ICON)50°43°13%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°32%
The average52°40°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.