Minority Report

Coalgate, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Coal County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)72°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°48°0%
German model (ICON)71°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°45°0%
The average71°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°39°1%
US model (GFS)59°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°44°0%
German model (ICON)59°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°39°0%
The average59°41°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°41°53%
US model (GFS)59°38°22%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°58%
German model (ICON)56°33°34%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°12%
The average58°38°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 41°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°41°89%
US model (GFS)52°41°85%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°96%
German model (ICON)48°42°93%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°92%
The average49°41°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.