Minority Report

Coalville, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Summit County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)66°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°31°0%
German model (ICON)67°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°24°0%
The average65°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 86 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 42%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°96%
US model (GFS)60°40°10%
European model (ECMWF)57°33°31%
German model (ICON)58°38°23%
Canadian model (GEM)59°25°49%
The average59°34°42%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°96%
US model (GFS)42°31°91%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°91%
German model (ICON)45°36°89%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°100%
The average45°33°93%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°29°4%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°2%
Canadian model (GEM)53°26°2%
The average52°30°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.