Minority Report

Coamo Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Coamo Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 87°   Low 74°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 90 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—75°10%
US model (GFS)88°72°42%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°100%
German model (ICON)87°74°60%
Canadian model (GEM)86°73°10%
The average87°74°44%

Friday, November 13

High 87°   Low 76°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°75°40%
US model (GFS)86°74°39%
European model (ECMWF)88°76°94%
German model (ICON)86°78°18%
Canadian model (GEM)84°75°72%
The average87°76°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 85°   Low 76°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°74°40%
US model (GFS)86°74°48%
European model (ECMWF)86°76°96%
German model (ICON)85°79°36%
Canadian model (GEM)82°76°86%
The average85°76°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 73°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°73°3%
US model (GFS)88°73°4%
European model (ECMWF)88°74°14%
German model (ICON)87°74°5%
Canadian model (GEM)84°73°6%
The average87°73°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.