Minority Report

Colby, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Thomas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)62°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)60°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°36°0%
The average61°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°0%
US model (GFS)51°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average53°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 38%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°39%
US model (GFS)52°30°32%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°35%
German model (ICON)49°33°33%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°50%
The average48°34°38%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 38%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°13%
US model (GFS)42°40°32%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°43%
German model (ICON)44°38°40%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°62%
The average45°37°38%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.