Minority Report

Coldspring, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Jacinto County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 56°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)75°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°56°0%
German model (ICON)77°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°59°0%
The average76°56°0%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°46°0%
US model (GFS)70°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°54°0%
German model (ICON)72°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°55°0%
The average73°52°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 47°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°48°31%
US model (GFS)66°45°8%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°36%
German model (ICON)60°44°13%
Canadian model (GEM)66°52°0%
The average64°47°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 49°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 77%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°49°75%
US model (GFS)66°49°64%
European model (ECMWF)55°48°90%
German model (ICON)53°50°77%
Canadian model (GEM)65°50°81%
The average60°49°77%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.