Coldwater, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Branch County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 36° Rain 75%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 74 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 37° | 88% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 38° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 37° | 95% |
| The average | 44° | 36° | 75% |
High 39° Low 30° Rain 20%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 26° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 32° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 30° | 37% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 31° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 30° | 15% |
| The average | 39° | 30° | 20% |
High 44° Low 29° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 31° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 28° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 29° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 29° | 3% |
High 46° Low 32° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 29° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 36° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 32° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.