Minority Report

Colfax, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Whitman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)58°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°47°0%
The average62°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 50%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°72%
US model (GFS)63°42°38%
European model (ECMWF)65°51°52%
German model (ICON)61°50°48%
Canadian model (GEM)60°48°42%
The average63°46°50%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 43°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 50%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°39°8%
US model (GFS)54°42°51%
European model (ECMWF)55°44°80%
German model (ICON)54°48°68%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°43%
The average55°43°50%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 44°   Rain 69%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°39°73%
US model (GFS)49°44°60%
European model (ECMWF)49°45°63%
German model (ICON)51°45°84%
Canadian model (GEM)54°46°67%
The average51°44°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.