Minority Report

Colonial Heights, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Colonial Heights city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 45°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 20 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°19%
US model (GFS)72°46°11%
German model (ICON)72°46°25%
Canadian model (GEM)71°46°5%
The average72°45°15%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°32°9%
US model (GFS)54°40°1%
German model (ICON)55°36°5%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average56°37°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°1%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°0%
The average53°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
German model (ICON)58°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average56°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.