Minority Report

Colorado City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mitchell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)74°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°47°0%
German model (ICON)73°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°41°0%
The average74°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°52°28%
US model (GFS)72°48°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°48°0%
German model (ICON)70°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°40°0%
The average71°47°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 52°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 77%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°54°65%
US model (GFS)63°50°70%
European model (ECMWF)64°52°94%
German model (ICON)62°54°86%
Canadian model (GEM)68°50°71%
The average63°52°77%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 44%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°46°18%
US model (GFS)70°51°56%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°76%
German model (ICON)62°46°38%
Canadian model (GEM)63°42°33%
The average64°46°44%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.