Minority Report

Colorado Springs, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of El Paso County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)68°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°35°0%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°33°0%
The average66°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 36°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°34°9%
US model (GFS)62°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°0%
German model (ICON)60°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°30°0%
The average61°36°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 69%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°62%
US model (GFS)51°32°72%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°88%
German model (ICON)50°40°46%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°76%
The average51°35°69%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 31%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°2%
US model (GFS)52°41°18%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°55%
German model (ICON)57°36°39%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°41%
The average51°35°31%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.