Minority Report

Columbia City, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Whitley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 38°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 41 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°59%
US model (GFS)47°41°63%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°100%
German model (ICON)47°40°63%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°95%
The average47°38°76%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 26%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°14%
US model (GFS)41°31°12%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°36%
German model (ICON)43°30°40%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°27%
The average42°31°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°12%
US model (GFS)43°31°9%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°1%
German model (ICON)45°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average44°30°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°13%
US model (GFS)46°36°7%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°4%
German model (ICON)49°39°2%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°14%
The average46°34°8%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.