Minority Report

Columbia, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Caldwell Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)77°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°54°0%
German model (ICON)74°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°52°0%
The average75°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°37°0%
US model (GFS)61°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°45°0%
German model (ICON)60°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°40°0%
The average61°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°1%
US model (GFS)60°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°0%
German model (ICON)59°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°0%
The average59°36°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 60%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°41°60%
US model (GFS)64°42°47%
European model (ECMWF)57°45°69%
German model (ICON)52°41°63%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°60%
The average59°41°60%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.